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7D vs 30D Timeframes

The system produces two regime scores. Only the Liquidity pillar differs between them.

The key difference

Pillar7D Regime30D Regime
Price & StructureFear & Greed Index (point-in-time)Same: identical calculation
Liquidity ★Short-window rolling averagesLong-window rolling averages
DerivativesCurrent funding rate, 24h OI change, liquidation ratiosSame: identical calculation
VolatilityOI change magnitude + liquidation volSame: identical calculation

★ The Liquidity pillar uses rolling windows for ETF flows and stablecoin supply. A shorter window captures recent momentum; a longer window filters noise to show the sustained trend.

Why only Liquidity changes?

Liquidity changes ★

Flow data is inherently time-dependent. $500M of ETF inflows over 7 days is very different from $500M over 30 days; the latter is less urgent. The time window changes the interpretation.

Example: 3 huge inflow days → 7D turns bullish. But if the prior 27 days were outflows, the 30D stays bearish. This divergence is meaningful signal.

Price & Structure: unchanged

Fear & Greed is a point-in-time reading. Today's index value is the same whether you're computing a 7D or 30D regime: there's no meaningful “7-day version” of the current sentiment score.

Derivatives: unchanged

Funding rate, OI change, and liquidation cascade are all near-term measurements. Today's funding rate signals today's positioning. A 30-day average funding rate would obscure the signal entirely.

Volatility: unchanged

OI change magnitude and liquidation spike ratios are already relative measurements (comparing today to a rolling average). They're self-contained and don't benefit from a separate long-window version.

When to use which

7D Regime: Short-term view
  • · Catches early momentum shifts
  • · Useful for timing entries and exits
  • · More sensitive: flips more easily
  • · Check when you're deciding whether to enter now
30D Regime: Medium-term view
  • · Filters short-term noise
  • · Shows the sustained trend
  • · Stable: changes are more meaningful
  • · Check first for your overall directional bias

Reading divergence

Both agree (bullish): high conviction

7D: RISK-ON
30D: RISK-ON

Sustained bull conditions confirmed on both windows. Size up to full allocation.

80–100% size

7D bullish, 30D neutral: early breakout

7D: RISK-ON
30D: NEUTRAL

Recent flows are strong, but the broader trend hasn't turned yet. Possible breakout, not yet confirmed.

20–40% size: wait for 30D to confirm

7D neutral, 30D bullish: temporary weakness

7D: CAUTIOUS-BULL
30D: RISK-ON

Near-term flows softening within a broader uptrend. Likely a pause, not a reversal.

50–60% size: take some profits, don't fully exit

Both agree (bearish): high conviction short/flat

7D: RISK-OFF
30D: CAUTIOUS-BEAR

Downtrend visible on both windows. Sustained outflows and derivative stress.

Flat or short: no long exposure

7D noisy, 30D stable: trust the 30D

7D: NEUTRAL ↔ CAUTIOUS-BULL
30D: CAUTIOUS-BEAR

Short-term flows volatile (one large inflow day, then outflows resume). 30D shows the real trend is still down.

Follow 30D: stay defensive

Summary

Aspect7D Regime30D Regime
PurposeShort-term momentumMedium-term trend
Liquidity windowShort rolling averageLong rolling average
Other pillarsIdentical to 30DIdentical to 7D
SensitivityHigh: reacts quicklyLow: filters noise
Best forEntry/exit timingOverall bias setting
Trust levelHigher when aligned with 30DAlways: provides core view